Recent defeat of an Italian referendum which was supposed to
replace ultra-restrictive IVF legislation is interpreted as a great victory for
Catholic Church. And it is even greater victory for Benedict XVI who showed
that his clout expanded even beyond the walls of Vatican City. Just as he was
underestimated in the conclave, he was underestimated in his ability to
influence politics in nominally secular country like Italy.
There are already speculations that Benedict’s successful
campaign against the referendum represents only a test for even more ambitious
attempts to push Catholic agenda in Italian legislation. Some commentators
believe that in very short time abortion and divorce might become thing of a
past in Italy.
Many tend to disregards those warnings as pure
sensationalism and panic. On one hand, it is quite inconceivable to imagine
Italy becoming a de-secularised in the 21st Century, especially in times when
church attendance continues to fall and Church begins to look more like a
tourist attraction than an important factor in everyday life of an average
Italian.
But there is one factor few people, except Benedict XVI,
took into account.
Reasons why Italians don’t attend Church nor follow Church
doctrine have very little to do with ideology or religious convictions. The more
simple explanation for the decline of Church is in devout Catholic lifestyle
becoming unattractive, bothersome and inconvenient for increasing number of
Europeans. In other words, there are fewer and fewer young Italians who would
stay at home on Saturday evening only to attend Sunday mass.
Benedict XVI reasoned that most of those who don’t bother to
walk to the nearest Church aren’t likely to walk to nearest polling booth
either. The very same hedonism and prosperity that drove the Church away from
average people in Western Europe is going to prevent those same people from
fighting for the secular nature of their countries.
Referendum was easy to defeat – all Church had to do was to
call people not to go the polls and thus deprive it of necessary 50 % turnout.
And people, whether they agreed with Church positions or not, listened to that
call.
By doing that, they established the precedent that could do
to European secularism what fall of Berlin wall did to European Communism.
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